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ASPECTOS METODOLÓGICOS DO ESTUDO DO POTENCIAL DE RECURSOS DO SISTEMA DE PENSÕES: MODELAGEM E PREVISÃO
Resumo
Objetivo: O objetivo deste artigo é examinar as abordagens metodológicas para a análise do potencial de recursos dos sistemas de pensões, com foco na modelagem e previsão. O estudo visa destacar a importância das capacidades de recursos na formulação de políticas nacionais para o aprimoramento do sistema de pensões.
Métodos: A pesquisa emprega uma combinação de métodos qualitativos e quantitativos, incluindo análise sistêmica e técnicas de previsão. O estudo integra várias abordagens científicas, incluindo a análise de tendências históricas, atuais e futuras no potencial de recursos dos sistemas de pensões.
Resultados: O estudo identifica as principais características do potencial de recursos nos sistemas de pensões, incluindo a quantidade e a qualidade dos ativos, a competência administrativa e a infraestrutura tecnológica que suporta os serviços de pensões. A pesquisa também desenvolve um modelo conceitual para prever o potencial de recursos dentro do sistema nacional de pensões, enfatizando a importância de entender tanto os aspectos estáticos quanto dinâmicos da capacidade de recursos.
Conclusões: Os resultados sugerem que uma abordagem abrangente para a modelagem e previsão do potencial de recursos é crucial para a estabilidade e sustentabilidade dos sistemas de pensões. O estudo destaca a necessidade de uma visão sistêmica na avaliação das trajetórias futuras dos recursos de pensões, especialmente diante de desafios políticos, econômicos e demográficos.
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DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.21902/Revrima.v2i44.6954
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