METHODOLOGICAL ASPECTS OF THE STUDY OF THE RESOURCE POTENTIAL OF PENSION SYSTEM: MODELING AND FORECASTING

Eduard Vafin, Elena Razumovskaya, Sergey Kiselev, Igor Kokh

Abstract


Objective: The objective of this paper is to examine the methodological approaches to analyzing the resource potential of pension systems, with a focus on modeling and forecasting. The study aims to highlight the significance of resource capabilities in shaping national policies for pension system enhancement.

Methods: The research employs a combination of qualitative and quantitative methods, including systemic analysis and forecasting techniques. The study integrates various scientific approaches, including the analysis of historical, current, and future trends in the resource potential of pension systems.

Results: The study identifies key characteristics of resource potential in pension systems, including the quantity and quality of assets, administrative competence, and the technological infrastructure supporting pension services. The research also develops a conceptual model for predicting the resource potential within the national pension framework, emphasizing the importance of understanding both the static and dynamic aspects of resource capacity.

Conclusions: The findings suggest that a comprehensive approach to modeling and forecasting resource potential is crucial for the stability and sustainability of pension systems. The study underscores the need for a systemic viewpoint in evaluating the future trajectories of pension resources, particularly in the face of political, economic, and demographic challenges.


Keywords


Resource potential of the pension system; Pension provision; State pension system; Modeling and forecasting; Methodological principles of forecasting the potential of pension resources

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DOI: http://dx.doi.org/10.21902/Revrima.v2i44.6954

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